The international energy outlook 2019 provides longterm world energy projections 7. The only question in my mind is whether the web site title should be iea. Energy market projections are uncertain because the events that shape future developments in technology, demographic changes, economic trends, and resource availability that drive energy use are fluid. Fatih birol, executive director at the international energy agency iea, to present the ieas world energy outlook 2016. Poor peoples energy outlook 2016 practical action policy.
World energy outlook 2017 excerpt outlook for natural gas. As a result of major transformations in the global energy system that take place over the next decades, renewables and natural gas are the big winners in the race to meet energy demand growth until 2040, according to the latest edition of the world energy outlook, the international energy agencys flagship publication. International energy outlook 20 stanford university. This trend will accelerate, as energy producers continue to diversify their portfolio beyond oil and gas revenues. Welcome fatih birol, chief economist at the international energy agency iea to present the ieas 20 world energy outlook on december 3rd from 9. The world energy outlook series is a leading source of strategic insight on the future of energy and energy related emissions, providing detailed scenarios that map out the consequences of different energy policy and investment choices this years edition updates the outlooks for all fuels, technologies and regions, based on the latest market data, policy initiatives and cost trends.
In the midst of geopolitical uncertainty, and with energy security concerns on the rise, the european union needs more than ever a common. Nov 18, 2016 the csis energy national security program is pleased to host dr. Liquid fuels supplies from both opec and non opec producers increase through 2040 adam sieminski, rieti october 4, 2016 5 0 10. World energy outlook 2012 mapping the new global energy landscape the global energy map is changing in dramatic fashion. Assessing todays supplies to fuel tomorrows growth zworld energy outlook 2002 2nd edition issued zworld energy outlook 2003 insights. The energy outlook explores the forces shaping the global energy transition out to 2040 and the key uncertainties surrounding that transition. Soaring oil, gas and coal prices, exploding energy demand in china, war in iraq and electricity blackouts across the world are among the signs and causes of the profound transformations through which the energy world is passing. Doubts have arisen about whether emerging countries would drive the acceleration of global economic growth in the near future. The poor peoples energy outlook 2016 provides pioneering new research into energy access planning from the perspective of the energy poor in bangladesh, kenya, and togo. Following the disaster, germany and switzerland announced plans to phase. The outlook presents a full update of energy projections through to 2035 and insights into what they mean for energy security, climate change, economic development, and universal access to modern energy services.
This years projections for different scenarios to 2040, based on the latest data and market developments, cover all fuels, regions, and technologies. The 450 scenario represents a model estimate where energy markets transform sufficiently to meet the likely requirement to hold the world on track for a 2 degree climate outcome. Energy information administration, annual energy outlook 20 early release. Will the unconventional gas revolution spread around the world. World energy outlook highlights stall in energyrelated. The average global energy intensity improvement to 2030 reaches 1. Published every year based on objective data and dispassionate analysis, the world energy outlook weo provides critical analysis and insights on trends in energy demand and supply, and what they mean for energy security, environmental protection and economic development the first weo was published in 1977 and it has been an annual publication since 1998. It provides an exceptionally thorough analysis of global energy markets and clearly highlights the. In a world where big differences in regional energy prices impact. It uses case study evidence from three contrasting countries to unpick what it means to plan for energy access from the bottom up, basing those plans on the energy needs and priorities expressed by the energypoor. The annual world energy outlook is the international energy agencys flagship publication, widely recognised as the most authoritative source for global energy projections and analysis citation needed.
How will global energy relationships evolve in the coming decades. Natural gas liquefaction capacity to be commissioned in 200920 441. Share of global export market for energy intensive goods the us, together with key emerging economies, increases its export market share for energy intensive goods, while the eu and japan see a sharp decline. World energy outlook 2016 sees renewables and natural gas. Many countries have made pledges under the copenhagen accord to reduce greenhousegas emissions. The international energy agencys world energy outlook 20. Assessing todays supplies to fuel tomorrows growth zworld energy outlook 2002 2nd edition issued zworld energy outlook 2003. Eia, annual energy outlook 2014 and international energy outlook 2014. Oil, coal, natural gas, renewables and nuclear power are all covered, along with an update on developments in subsidies to fossil fuels and renewable energy.
World energy outlook annex a tables for scenario projections. Since 2008, domestic crude oil and liquid fuels production has. World energy outlook 2017 international energy agency. International energy outlook 2017 activate capital. Renewable energy is increasingly competitive economically with fossil fuel. Global energy outlook 2015 this paper assesses trends in the global energy sector through 2040 by harmonizing multiple projections issued by private, government, and intergovernmental organizations based on methods from global energy outlooks comparison. The 2016 edition of the poor peoples energy outlook ppeo explores energy access planning from the perspectives of poor people. This edition of the ieas flagship weo publication gives the latest energy demand and supply. This is the task that the world energy outlook weo takes up in different scenarios and case studies, with the additional opportunity in 2016 to provide the first comprehensive examination of the. Statelevel action and competitive costs help renewables. Figure 2 shows the change in energy mix over the outlook period. This decoupling has given the iea the confidence to model just 0. The growing importance of electricity in energy use across the globe.
Global energy use grows by 36%, with non oecd countries led by china, where demand surges by 75% accounting for almost all of the increase world primary energy demand by region in the new policies scenario 0 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 14 000 16 000 18 000 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 oe rest of world china oecd. The international energy agencys annual world energy outlook weo publication forecasts electricity demand, investment, generation capacity and trends in energy consumption until 2040. The international energy outlook 20 was prepared by the u. In 2035, the united states would realize a 15% decrease in energy demand relative to 2010 and a 1. Ieas world energy outlook 2016 center for strategic and. Share of global export market for energyintensive goods the us, together with key emerging economies, increases its export market share for energyintensive goods, while the eu and japan see a sharp decline. Welcome to the 20 edition of bps energy outlook 2030. Wed like to share with you some big picture thoughts on 2016 events and our outlook for 2017 and beyond.
Iea world energy outlook sees radical shifts, despite conservatism the next 25 years will see a radical shift towards renewables and away from coal, a global energy centre of gravity pivoting towards india and the prospect of africa leapfrogging dirty energy. The international energy agency iea has launched its world energy outlook 2016 weo in brussels this years edition focusses on the entry into force of the paris climate change agreement which has raised hopes and expectations of more concerted global efforts to tackle climate change, the weo says. The paris agreement on climate change, which entered into force in november 2016, brings together countries representing almost all of the worlds greenhousegas. The outlook presents a full update of energy projections through to 2035 and insights into what they mean for energy security, climate change, economic development, and universal access to modern energy. Coal decreases its market share from 41 per cent to 30 per cent. This article uses the new policy scenario, where government policies as of mid2015 have been formally adopted and any. Please note that this pdf is subject to specific restrictions that limit its. Commitments have also been made by the g20 and apec to phase out inefficient fossilfuel subsidies. The latest world energy outlook offers the most comprehensive analysis of what this transformation of the energy sector might look like, thanks to. World energy outlook 2010 food climate research network.
The paris agreement on climate change, which entered into force in novemb. World energy outlook 2012 industry and government decision makers and others with a stake in the energy sector all need weo2012. It presents authoritative projections of energy trends through to 2035 and insights into what they mean for energy security, environmental sustainability and economic development. World energy outlook 2020 and global electricity investment. Between 2015 and 2040, world energy consumption increases by 28% in the ieo2017 reference case. Energyintensive sectors worldwide account for around onefifth of industrial value added, onequarter of industrial employment and 70% of industrial energy. Energy intensive sectors worldwide account for around onefifth of industrial value added, onequarter of industrial employment and 70% of industrial energy use. From 20 to 2040, electricity demand is expected to increase by 70 per cent from 23,318 twh to 39,444 twh. The csis energy national security program is pleased to host dr. In oecd europe, hard coal production in germany and poland fell. Getting the prices right zworld energy outlook 2000 zworld energy outlook 2001 insights. Following the disaster, germany and switzerland announced plans to phase out or shut. World energy outlook 2010 the world appears to be emerging from the worst economic crisis in decades.
World energy outlook 2014 12112014 commissioner arias canete said. World energy outlook 2014 world energy outlook 20 note. International energy outlook 2016 with projections to 2040. World energy outlook 2011 brings together the latest data, policy developments, and the experience of another year to provide robust analysis and insight into global energy markets, today and for the next 25 years. The iea releases the world energy outlook weo2016 this week. How would i cite a page on the world energy outlook. There is no single story about the future of global energy and no longterm iea forecast for the energy sector. This year world energy outlook also gives a special focus to topical energy. It finds that bottomup national energy planning is feasible, and that it is much more likely to deliver good results than are traditional topdown approaches to energy.
World energy outlook 2004appears at an extremely volatile and uncertain moment in modern energy history. Fatih birol, chief economist of the international energy agency iea designed and directed the study which was prepared by the ieas directorate of global energy economics of the international energy agency and other offices of the agency. Largescale shifts include the rapid deployment and steep declines in the costs of major renewable energy technologies. Weo 2016 gives particular attention to the following. World energy outlook series zworld energy outlook 1998 zworld energy outlook 1999 insights. In greece, default,unexpecte d in any industrial country, has become a real fear. Key findings of the international energy outlook 20 2 adam sieminski, ieo20 july 25, 20 with world gdp rising by 3. Global energy outlook 2015 international energy forum. Disclaimerthis presentation contains forwardlooking statements, particularly those regarding globaleconomic growth, population growth, energy consumption, policy support for renewableenergies and sources of energy supply. The rapid deployment and falling costs of clean energy technologies.
Among them, the new policies scenario describes where existing policies and announced. Eias december 2012 shortterm energy outlook steo projected that u. Asiaworld energy outlook 2015 i foreword he global energy environment has changed dramatically since only a little more than one year ago. It uses case study evidence from three contrasting countries to unpick what it means to plan for energy access from the bottom up, basing those plans on the energy needs and priorities expressed by the energy poor. Mar 08, 2017 global wind energy outlook 2016 scenarios main assumptions iea new policies scenario. So as oil prices rise, demand may soften especially in developing world economies and choose alternatives to oil, further deflating prices. World energy, it has become a respected contribution to the global discussion on energy and i am.
Incorporating these recent developments and worldclass analysis, world energy outlook 20 presents a full update of energy projections through to 2035 and insights into what they mean for energy security, climate change, economic development and universal access to modern energy services. As a result of major transformations in the global energy system that take place over the next decades, renewables and natural gas are the big winners in the race to meet energy demand growth until 2040, according to the latest edition of the world energy outlook, the international energy agencys flagship publication a detailed analysis of the pledges made for the paris. The world energy outlook 2015 weo2015 will present updated projections for the evolution of the global energy system to 2040, based on the latest data and market developments, as well as. Global wind energy outlook 2016 scenarios main assumptions iea new policies scenario. Three policy scenarios are analysed throughout the weo report. Columbia university ieo2014 september 22, 2014 16 history. Germany, greece, hungary, iceland, ireland, israel, italy, japan, luxembourg, mexico. Looking at global energy developments up to 2040, the world energy outlook 2014 is a strong reminder that sustained political efforts are essential if we want to change energy trends for the better. Energy outlook downloads and archive energy economics home. The latest world energy outlook offers the most comprehensive. Half of the increase is attributed to china and india.
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